Procyclical and countercyclical strategies in MSMes performance in a crisis context: A study based on the COVID-19 pandemic

Authors

DOI:

10.14211/regepe.esbj.e2399

Keywords:

Crisis, Performance, Small business, COVID-19

Abstract

Objective: To investigate the impact of procyclical and countercyclical strategies on the performance of MSMEs in the context of the Covid-19 crisis. Methodology/approach: Quantitative sample, with 118 micro, small, and medium-sized companies in Minas Gerais, Brazil. Spearman's correlation analysis and multiple linear regression analysis were used. Main Results: In the period dominated by the pandemic (2020/2021), countercyclical strategies performed better than procyclical strategies. Theoretical/methodological contributions: Although the literature explores procyclical strategies, studies that associate the influence of procyclical and countercyclical strategies with organizational performance still need to be made available. This gap is even more evident when MSMEs in crisis contexts are considered. By associating still new dimensions, such as HR, marketing, and production, among others, this article helps to fill gaps associated with, even today, a lack of work that seeks integrated models capable of better understanding the impact that crises, such as COVID-19. Relevance/Originality: The article innovates by associating, in the context of the literature on the crisis, the two types of strategies (countercyclical and procyclical) in the elaboration and testing of an integrated analytical model composed of different variables, and capable of being used not only in new research as well as in the business context. Social/management contributions: By demonstrating that cuts in investments in marketing and other areas produce adverse effects on performance and that organizations benefit by keeping employees instead of firing them, this study sheds light on the relevance of countercyclical strategies, which still need to be explored.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Author Biographies

Wilquer Silvano de Souza Ferreira, Pontifícia Universidade Católica de Minas Gerais (PUC Minas), Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil

is a professor and researcher at the Pontifical Catholic University of Minas Gerais (PUC Minas), and professor at Anhanguera College. He is a Post PhD student, holds a doctorate and a master's degree in business administration (PUC Minas), a postgraduate degree in production engineering from the Federal University of Santa Catarina (UFSC) and a degree in administration (PUC Minas). His areas of interest include technological innovation, strategy, entrepreneurship and technology platforms. He is the holder of several awards with research and works recognized at national and international level, widely publicized in mass media.

Gláucia Maria Vasconcellos Vale, Pontifícia Universidade Católica de Minas Gerais (PUC Minas), Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil

is an adjunct professor and researcher at the Graduate Program in Administration at the Pontifical Catholic University of Minas Gerais, PPGA-PUC MINAS. She holds a Postdoctoral degree in Economic Sociology (Sorbonne); Doctorate in Business Administration (UFLA); Master, International Economics (Paris I); Degree in Social Communication (PUC Minas) and Economics. Coordinator of NUPERE - Center for Research in Entrepreneurship and Social/Organizational Networks; Scientific editor, RAE magazine/Fundação Getúlio Vargas; Ad hoc CAPES/MEC evaluator, analysis/judgment group Requests for Reconsideration of new master's and doctoral courses (2019). Her areas of interest include strategy, entrepreneurship, innovation and organizational networks. She received the CAPES / MEC NATIONAL AWARD for the best doctoral thesis in the area (2007 author; 2017, supervisor). She is also the holder of several literary awards at national and international level.

Nair Aparecida de Andrade, Pontifícia Universidade Católica de Minas Gerais (PUC Minas), Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil

is a PhD student in Business Administration at PUC Minas. She holds a master's degree in business administration from the Unihorizontes university center and a degree in Economics from the Federal University of Minas Gerais (1985). She has an MBA in strategic management from FGV and specialization in marketing from ESPM. She has a specialization in public policies directed at small businesses by UNICAMP. She served as manager of territorial economic development and public policies at the Support Service for Micro and Small Companies of Minas Gerais - SEBRAE-MG and as a public policy analyst at the Brazilian Support Service for Micro and Small Companies - SEBRAE NACIONAL. interests include regional and sectoral development, cooperativism and market research. She is an integral member of the Micro and Small Business Council at the Commercial Association of Minas Gerais and the Permanent Forum of Micro and Small Companies in Minas Gerais.

References

Ang, S. H., Leong, S. M., & Kotler, P. (2000). The Asian Apocalypse: Crisis Marketing for Consumers and Businesses. Long Range Planning, 33(1), 97–119. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0024-6301(99)00100-4

Apaydin, F. (2011). Changes in Marketing Strategies and Performance Outcomes of Turkish Firms in 2008 Global Economic Recession. International Business Research, 4(4), 104–114. https://doi:10.5539/ibr.v4n4p104

Arellano, C., & Mendoza, E. G. (2019). Credit frictions and ‘sudden stops’ in small open economies: An equilibrium business cycle framework for emerging markets crises. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1807610.

Bonatto, F., de Resende, L.M.M., & Pontes, J. (2020), Relational governance in supply chain: a systematic literature review. Benchmarking, 27(6), 1711–1741. https://doi.org/ 10.1108/BIJ-01-2019-0033

Borisova, V. V, Panfilova, E. E., Zhukov, P. V, Matulis, S. N., Matveev, V. V., & Teymurova, V. E. (2019), Information support in the enterprise risk management. International Journal of Management and Business Research, 9(1), 158–169.

Bromiley, P., Navarro, P., & Sottile, P. (2008). Strategic business cycle management and organizational performance: A great unexplored research stream. Strategic Organization, 6(2), 207–219. https://doi.org/10.1177/1476127008090011

Bundy, J., & Pfarrer, M. D. (2015). A burden of responsibility: The role of social approval at the onset of a crisis. Academy of Management Review, 40(3), 345–369. https://doi.org/10.5465/amr.2013.0027

Cantele, S., & Zardini, A. (2018). Is sustainability a competitive advantage for small businesses? An empirical analysis of possible mediators in the sustainability–financial performance relationship. Journal of Cleaner Production, 182, 166–176. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.02.016

Casillas, J. C., Moreno-Menéndez, A.M., Barbero, J. L., & Clinton, E. (2019). Retrenchment Strategies and Family Involvement: The Role of Survival Risk. Family Business Review, 32 (1), 58–75. https://doi.org/10.1177/0894486518794605

Chabossou, A. F. C., Nonvide, G. M. A., Lokonon, B. O. K., Amegnaglo, C. J., & Akpo, L. G. (2021). COVID-19 and the Performance of Exporting Companies in Benin. European Journal of Development Research, 34(2):828-842. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41287-021-00395-z.

Chawinga, W. D., & Chipeta, G. T. (2017). A synergy of knowledge management and competitive intelligence: A key for competitive advantage in small and medium business enterprises. Business Information Review, 34(1), 25–36. https://doi.org/10.1504/IJBIS.2020.10025102

Cochran, W. G. (1977). Sampling Techniques, 3rd edn. Wiley. New York.

Cohen, J. (2013). Statistical Power Analysis for the Behavioral Sciences, Academic Press. https://doi.org/10.1016/C2013-0-10517-X

Conti, C. R., Goldszmidt, R., & de Vasconcelos, F. C. (2015). Strategies for superior performance in recessions: Pro or counter-cyclical? RAE Revista de Administração de Empresas, 55(3), 273–289. https://doi.org/10.1590/S0034-759020150304

Coombs, W. T., & Holladay, S. J. (2010). The Handbook of Crisis Communication. Wiley-Blackwell. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781444314885.

Crick, J. M., & Crick, D. (2020). Coopetition and COVID-19: Collaborative business-to-business marketing strategies in a pandemic crisis. Industrial Marketing Management, 88, 206–213. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.indmarman.2020.05.016

Doern, R. (2016). Entrepreneurship and crisis management: The experiences of small businesses during the London 2011 riots. International Small Business Journal: Researching Entrepreneurship, 34(3), 276–302. https://doi.org/10.1177/0266242614553863

Eggers, F. (2020). Masters of disasters? Challenges and opportunities for SMEs in times of crisis. Journal of Business Research, 116, 199– 208. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2020.05.025

Ferreira, W., Vale, G. & Bernardes, P. (2021). Innovation, Ruptures and Economic Cycles in Technology Platforms: Proposition of an analytical framework.. Organizações & Sociedade, 28, 495-518. https://doi.org/10.1590/1984-92302021v28n9802pt.

Ferreira, W., Vale, G. & Corrêa, V. (2022). Diffusion of Innovation in Technological Platforms: The Uber Case. BAR - Brazilian Administration Review, 19. https://doi.org/10.1590/1807-7692bar2022210101.

Gephart Jr., R. P., Van Maanen, J., & Oberlechner, T. (2009). Organizations and risk in late modernity. Organization Studies, 30(2–3), 141–155. https://doi.org/10.1177/0170840608101474

Geroski, P., & Gregg, P. (1993). Coping the Recession. National Institute Economic Review, 146(1), 64–75. https://doi.org/10.1177/002795019314600105

Gil, A. C. (2002). Como Elaborar Projetos de Pesquisa, 4a., Atlas, São Paulo.

Hair, J., Hult, G. T. M., & Ringle, C. M. (2013), A Primer on Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM), Sage Publications (CA), Newbury Park.

Hair, J. F., & Fávero, L. P. (2019). Multilevel modeling for longitudinal data: concepts and applications. RAUSP Management Journal, 54(4), 459–489. https://doi.org/10.1108/RAUSP-04-2019-0059

Hall, R. E. (2005). Employment fluctuations with equilibrium wage stickiness. American Economic Review, 95(1), 50–65. https://doi.org/10.1257/0002828053828482

Herbane, B. (2019). Rethinking organizational resilience and strategic renewal in SMEs. Entrepreneurship and Regional Development, 31(5–6), 476–495. https://doi.org/10.1080/08985626.2018.1541594

Ivashina, V., & Scharfstein, D. (2010). Bank lending during the financial crisis of 2008. Journal of Financial Economics, 97(3), 319–338. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2009.12.001

Jaques, T. (2009). Issue management as a post-crisis discipline: Identifying and responding to issue impacts beyond the crisis. Journal of Public Affairs, 9(1), 35–44. https://doi.org/10.1177/0149206316680030

Kahn, W. A., Barton, M. A., & Fellows, S. (2013). Organizational crises and the disturbance of relational systems. Academy of Management Review, 38(3), 377–396. https://doi.org/10.5465/amr.2011.0363

Kaszowska-Mojsa, J. (2020). Innovation strategies of manufacturing companies during expansions and slowdowns. Entrepreneurial Business and Economics Review, 8(4), 47–66. http:// doi.org/10.15678/EBER.2020.080403

Kiselitsa, E. P., & Shilova, N. N. (2016). Economic technology of enterprise risk management based on information support for their activity. Journal of Internet Banking and Commerce, 21(S3), 14.

Klyver, K., & Nielsen, S. L. (2021). Which crisis strategies are (expectedly) effective among SMEs during COVID-19? Journal of Business Venturing Insights, 16. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbvi.2021.e00273

Kuckertz A., Brändle L., Gaudig A., Hinderer S., Morales Reyes C. A., Prochotta A., Steinbrink K. M. , Berger E. S. C. (2020). Startups in times of crisis – A rapid response to the COVID-19 pandemic. Journal of Business Venturing Insights, 13. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbvi.2020.e00169.

Kurschus, R. J., Sarapovas, T., & Cvilikas, A. (2015). The criteria to identify company’s crisis in SME sector. Engineering Economics, 26(2), 152–158. http://doi.org/10.5755/j01.ee.26.2.8779

Kusa, R., Duda, J., & Suder, M. (2022). How to sustain company growth in times of crisis: the mitigating role of entrepreneurial management. Journal of Business Research, 142, 377-386. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2021.12.081

Lamey, L., Deleersnyder, B., Steenkamp, J. E. B. M., & Dekimpe, M. G. (2012). The effect of business cycle fluctuations on private-label share: What has marketing conduct got to do with it? Journal of Marketing, 76(1), 1-19. https://doi.org/10.1509/jm.09.0320

Landis, J.R., & Koch, G. G. (1977). The measurement of observer agreement for categorical data. Biometrics, 33(1), 159–174. https://doi.org/10.2307/2529310

Larson, E. C., & Vieregger, C. (2021). The strategic dilemma of counter-cyclical capital investment. Global Business and Economics Review, 24(4), 317–343. https://doi.org/10.1504/GBER.2021.115802

Latham, S., & Braun, M. (2011). Economic recessions, strategy, and performance: a synthesis. Journal of Strategy and Management, 4(2), 96–115. https://doi.org/10.1108/17554251111128592

Liu, Y., Shankar, V., & Yun, W. (2017). Crisis management strategies and the long-term effects of product recalls on firm value. Journal of Marketing, 81(5), 30–48. https://doi.org/10.1509/jm.15.0535

Lopes, F.C., & Carvalho, L. (2021). Intangible assets and business performance in Latin America. RAUSP Management Journal, 56(4). https://doi.org/10.1108/rausp-02-2020-0024.

Ma, B., & Zhang, J. (2022). Tie strength, organizational resilience and enterprise crisis management: An empirical study in pandemic time. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 81(15). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2022.103240.

Malhotra, N. K. (2011). Pesquisa de Marketing: Uma Orientação Aplicada, Bookman.

Mann, M., & Byun, S. E. (2017). To retrench or invest? Turnaround strategies during a recessionary time. Journal of Business Research, 80, 24–34. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2017.06.018

Martínez Serna, M. C., & García Guerra, A. (2021). Environmental hostility business in mexican exporting smes in the context of covid-19: Effect on the performance. Revista Venezolana de Gerencia, 26(5), 478–489. https://doi.org/10.52080/rvgluz.26.e5.31

McClelland, J., & Rust, J. (2018). Strategic Timing of Investment over the Business Cycle: Machine Replacement in the US Rental Industry. Jahrbucher Fur Nationalokonomie Und Statistik, 238(3–4), 295–351. https://doi.org/10.1515/jbnst-2018-0023

Nassif, V.M.J., Corrêa, V.S., & Rossetto, D.E. (2020). Estão os empreendedores e as pequenas empresas preparadas para as adversidades Contextuais? Uma reflexão a luz da pandemia do Covid-19”, Revista de Empreendedorismo e Gestão de Pequenas Empresas, Vol. 9 No. 2, p. 1. https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3601-2831

Navarro, P., Bromiley, P., & Sottile, P. (2010). Business cycle management and firm performance: Tying the empirical knot. Journal of Strategy and Management, 3(1), 50–71. https://doi.org/10.20586/joms.10.1_1

Nyikos, G., Soha, B., & Beres, A. (2021). Entrepreneurial resilience and firm performance during the COVID-19 crisis - Evidence from Hungary. Regional Statistics, 11(3), 29–59. https://doi.org/10.15196/RS110307

Okoli, J., & Watt, J. (2018). Crisis decision-making: the overlap between intuitive and analytical strategies. Management Decision, 56(5), 1122–1134. https://doi.org/10.1108/MD-04-2017-0333

Padovez-Cualheta, L., Borges, C., Camargo, A. & Tavares, L. (2019). An entrepreneurial career impacts on job and family satisfaction. RAUSP Management Journal, 54(2), 125–140. https://doi.org/10.1108/RAUSP-09-2018-0081

Perrien, J., Chéron, E. J., & Zins, M. (1984). Recherche En Marketing : Méthodes et Décisions. Gaëtan Morin, Montréal.

Piccarozzi, M., Silvestri, C., & Morganti, P. (2021). Covid-19 in management studies: A systematic literature review. Sustainability (Switzerland), 13(7). https://doi.org/10.3390/su13073791.

Podsakoff, P. M., MacKenzie, S. B., Lee, J.Y., & Podsakoff, N. P. (2003). Common Method Biases in Behavioral Research: A Critical Review of the Literature and Recommended Remedies. Journal of Applied Psychology, 88(5), 879–903. https://doi.org/10.1037/0021-9010.88.5.879

Rababah, A., Al-Haddad, L., Sial, M. S., Chunmei, Z., & Cherian, J. (2020). Analyzing the effects of COVID-19 pandemic on the financial performance of Chinese listed companies. Journal of Public Affairs, 20(4). https://doi.org/10.1002/pa.2440.

Rico, M., Pandit, N. R., & Puig, F. (2021). SME insolvency, bankruptcy, and survival: an examination of retrenchment strategies. Small Business Economics, 57(1), 111–126. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11187-019-00293-z

Sá, E. G. L., & Amorim, T. N. G. F. (2018). Uso e importância de indicadores de desempenho em empresas atacadistas do ramo alimentício a partir das perspectivas do Balanced Scorecard. Custos e @gronegócio, 14(3), 298-337.

Sebrae. (2020). Painel de Empresas. Retrieved in 19th October, 2021 available at https://datasebrae.com.br/totaldeempresas-11-05-2020.

Sibony, O., Viguerie, S. P., & Dye, R. (2009). Strategic planning : Three tips for 2009. The McKinsey Quarterly, April.

Srinivasan, R., Lilien, G. L., & Sridhar, S. (2011). Should firms spend more on research and development and advertising during recessions? Journal of Marketing, 75(3), 49–65. https://doi.org/10.2307/41228596

Tellis, G. J., & Tellis, K. (2009). Research on advertising in a recession: A critical review and synthesis. Journal of Advertising Research, 49(3). https://doi.org/ 10.2501/S0021849909090400

Wenzel, M., Stanske, S., & Lieberman, M. B. (2020). Strategic responses to crisis. Strategic Management Journal, 42 (2), 16-27. https://doi.org/10.1002/smj.3161

Wille, D., Hoffer, A., & Miller, S. M. (2017). Small-business financing after the financial crisis – lessons from the literature. Journal of Entrepreneurship and Public Policy, 6(3), 315–339. https://doi.org/10.1108/JEPP-D-17-00005

Zarnowitz, V. (1985). Recent Work on Business Cycles in Historical Perspective: A Review of Theories and Evidence. Journal of Economic Literature, 23(2), 523–580. https://doi.org/10.3386/w1503

Published

2023-06-15

Métricas


Visualizações do artigo: 388     pdf downloads: 79 Viewer (xml, epub, html) downloads: 0 Mobile downloads: 0 Áudio (Português (Brasil)) downloads: 10 Audio downloads: 9 Áudio (Español (España)) downloads: 13 Video (subtitles: pt, en, es) downloads: 11

How to Cite

Ferreira, W. S. de S., Vale, G. M. V., & Andrade, N. A. de. (2023). Procyclical and countercyclical strategies in MSMes performance in a crisis context: A study based on the COVID-19 pandemic. REGEPE Entrepreneurship and Small Business Journal, 12(2), e2399. https://doi.org/10.14211/regepe.esbj.e2399

Issue

Section

Research article (Theoretical-empirical)

Similar Articles

<< < 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 > >> 

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.